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Table 1 All county mean model scores. Mean weighted interval scores across all counties in the contiguous USA, ordered by increasing WIS (i.e., worse skill) across all counties

From: Evaluation of the 2022 West Nile virus forecasting challenge, USA

Model

All county WIS

All county performance tier

Ensemble

0.058

1

CDC-HistNB

0.059

2

USC-INLA

0.059

2

hybrid-hybrid

0.059

2

LANL-NBandP

0.059

2

MSSM-WED

0.061

2

Datart-PoissonFE

0.070

3

AMbeRland-RandomForest_anomaly

0.082

4

CDC-NaiveHist

0.088

4

FINforWN-MCMaWN

0.089

4

Kansas–Bayesian

0.126

5