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Estimation of Trypanosoma cruzi infection in the main vector Triatoma infestans: accounting for imperfect detection using site-occupancy models

Abstract

Background

Vector infection prevalence is a key component of vectorial capacity and transmission risk. Optical microscopy observation (OM) of fecal drops has been the classic method for detecting Trypanosoma cruzi infection in triatomine bugs until the advent of polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based techniques. However, agreement among OM- and PCR-based techniques has been highly heterogeneous.

Methods

We used hierarchical site-occupancy models accounting for imperfect detection to estimate method-specific detection probabilities of T. cruzi infection in field-collected Triatoma infestans and to assess whether T. cruzi infection varied with triatomine developmental stage and collection ecotope. We also performed a scoping review of the literature on comparisons between OM and PCR for T. cruzi infection diagnosis in triatomines. Triatomines were collected before vector control interventions in Pampa del Indio houses (Argentine Chaco) and examined by OM. We amplified the variable regions of the kinetoplastid minicircle genome (vkDNA-PCR) in DNA extracted from the rectal ampoules of 64 OM-positive and 65 OM-negative T. infestans.

Results

vkDNA-PCR detected T. cruzi infection in 59 (92.2%) OM-positive bugs and in 19 (29.2%) OM-negative triatomines in blind tests. The overall prevalence of infection, as determined by a positive test result by either vkDNA-PCR or OM, was 64.3% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 55.8–72.1%]. Detection probability of T. cruzi infection by vkDNA-PCR (92%, 95% CI 83–97%) was substantially higher than for OM (76%, 95% CI 65–84%). Infection was minimal (26.2%) in peridomestic nymphs and maximal in domestic adult triatomines (81.7%). In the literature review encompassing 26 triatomine species from 11 countries, inter-method agreement ranged from 28.6% to 100%. The lowest agreement was observed in Rhodnius sp. and Panstrongylus lutzi and the highest among Triatoma sp., with wide variability in the protocols and outcomes of molecular diagnosis in comparison with OM.

Conclusions

Our study provides a synthesis on the different sources (both biological and technical) of variation of the outcomes of OM- and PCR-based diagnosis of T. cruzi infection in triatomines and identifies new research needs for diagnostic improvement.

Graphical Abstract

Background

Trypanosoma cruzi, the etiological agent of Chagas disease, is a multi-host protozoan transmitted by different routes: vector-borne, vertical, oral, and by transfusion or transplantation of infected organs [55]. Although more than 70 triatomine species (Hemiptera: Reduviidae: Triatominae) have been found naturally infected with T. cruzi, three genera (Triatoma, Rhodnius, and Panstrongylus) concentrate the most important species for human and veterinary health [2, 8, 15, 46].

Optical microscopy observation (OM) of fecal drops has been the standard method for detecting T. cruzi infection in triatomine bugs. Its strengths include the speed of results, easy implementation under field conditions, compatibility with keeping the insect alive, and low cost [27]. Among its limitations, OM is a labor-intensive method and the outcomes heavily depend on technician skills, it has low specificity in the presence of other trypanosomatids such as Trypanosoma rangeli [14] and Blastocrithidia triatomae [13, 44], widely variable sensitivity, especially among the smaller nymphal stages, and potential biohazard risks linked to the manipulation of infectious samples.

With the advent of polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based techniques, T. cruzi infection diagnosis has increasingly relied on them given its high specificity and sensitivity, in spite of its higher cost. PCR-based methods may give false negative results if DNA is contaminated with PCR inhibitors [16], or false positive results due to contaminations (cross-contamination of samples or contamination with target DNA amplicons).

Vector-borne T. cruzi transmission in the domestic environment depends on the occurrence and abundance of mammalian hosts acting as parasite sources, triatomine abundance, prevalence of bug infection, and vector–host contact [6]. Thus, assessing the occurrence and prevalence of T. cruzi infection in the vectors is a crucial component of transmission risk. Parasite-based indices can help assessing the progress toward the elimination of intradomiciliary vector-borne T. cruzi transmission, one of the goals set for Chagas disease by the World Health Organization in the 2030 roadmap for the elimination of Neglected Tropical Diseases [54]. However, imperfect detection of T. cruzi hampers our ability to estimate the occurrence of infection and vector-borne transmission risks.

Imperfect detection of the presence of a given species in a given site is a classic problem in ecological research [30], including the occurrence of triatomines and T. cruzi infection [1, 35]. The main consequence of imperfect detection is that the observed “naïve” prevalence most likely underestimates the true prevalence. Minuzzi-Souza et al. [35] evaluated the detection probability of five diagnostic methods of T. cruzi in six triatomine species barring Triatoma infestans; they showed that OM missed between 50% and 75% of the infected triatomines, whereas quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) achieved > 99% sensitivity and specificity. Discrepancies among diagnostic methods varied widely among triatomines species, with Triatoma sordida exhibiting the smallest difference between microscopic and molecular outcomes. No such study has been performed for T. infestans, historically the main domestic vector of human infection with T. cruzi and possibly the most competent vector species among the Triatominae [37].

Herein we address the imperfect detection of T. cruzi infection in triatomines. By examining the same T. infestans individuals by OM and PCR, the probability of detecting T. cruzi can be estimated and a corrected estimate of infection prevalence computed. We used hierarchical site-occupancy models accounting for imperfect detection to estimate method-specific detection probabilities of T. cruzi infection in field-collected T. infestans and to assess whether T. cruzi infection varied with triatomine developmental stage (nymphs versus adults) and collection ecotope (domestic versus peridomestic). Secondly, we performed a scoping review of the literature on comparisons between OM and PCR for diagnosis of T. cruzi infection in triatomines to assess their inter-method agreement according to species and test protocols.

Methods

Triatomine collection

Field work took place in a section of Pampa del Indio municipality (Chaco Province, Argentina), as part of a longitudinal research and control program on the eco-epidemiology of Chagas disease [22]. The study area (denominated area 1) was described elsewhere [21]. Triatomines were collected during the baseline (pre-intervention) survey of house infestation (September–October 2007) and kept in labeled plastic bags according to collection site by house, and then taken to the field laboratory where they were identified to species and counted by sex and stage. All triatomines were kept alive and taken to the insectary at the Faculty of Natural and Exact Sciences in Buenos Aires for further processing.

Triatoma infestans was collected by timed-manual searches in 41.1% of the 313 rural houses of area 1 [22]. We have previously reported that the observed (i.e., naïve) prevalence of infection with T. cruzi in T. infestans was 27.2% (95% CI 25.3–29.3%) as determined by OM, whereas the overall seroprevalence of T. cruzi infection was 26.0% in domestic dogs; 28.7% in domestic cats [11], and 39.8% in the resident human population [12].

Study design

All live third-instar nymphs and later stages of T. infestans were examined for T. cruzi infection by direct microscopy within 20 days of collection [11]. Following a standardized protocol, first- and second-instar nymphs were occasionally collected but were not examined for infection given the difficulty to manipulate small instars and their nil or very low prevalence of infection. A small fecal drop obtained by abdominal compression was mixed with one drop of saline solution on 22 × 22 mm slides and then it was thoroughly examined for trypanosomes at 400× by trained members of the research group. Insects were thereafter frozen at −20 °C. To compare the outcomes of OM and PCR diagnosis, a convenience sample (n = 129) of frozen microscopy-positive and microscopy-negative triatomines was tested by molecular methods. The examined insects were collected in eight houses from four rural villages.

Molecular diagnosis

The study insects were dissected to extract their rectal ampoules, which were mixed with 50 µl of sterile water and boiled for 10 min. DNA was extracted from an aliquot of 25 µl of rectal ampoule lysate using DNAzol (Invitrogen, Carlsbad, CA, USA) following manufacturer instructions. We amplified a fragment of 330 bp from the variable region of minicircles of the kinetoplastid genome (vkDNA) as described [33] and used Taq Platinum to enhance sensitivity.

Data analysis

We estimated the probability of detecting a T. cruzi infection by OM or PCR using single-season occupancy models implemented in the software PRESENCE 2.13.47 and the hierarchical-modeling approach described by Minuzzi-Souza et al. [35]. For this purpose we compiled a dataset (Additional File 2, Table S2) with 129 T. infestans examined for T. cruzi infection both by OM and vkPCR. We examined whether the occurrence of infection varied according to bug stage (nymphs versus adults) and collection ecotope (domiciles versus peridomestic habitats). We constructed five models that expressed different a priori hypotheses, where Ψ is the occupancy probability (i.e., probability of T. cruzi infection) and P the detection probability:

  1. (i)

    Ψ (.), P(.): uniform detection and uniform infection probabilities.

  2. (ii)

    Ψ (.), P(method): detection probability varying with the method, uniform infection probability.

  3. (iii)

    Ψ (adult), P(method): detection probability varying with the method, infection probability varying with triatomine stage.

  4. (iv)

    Ψ (domicile), P(method): detection probability varying with the method, infection probability varying with triatomine collection ecotope.

  5. (v)

    Ψ (adult + domicile), P(method): method-dependent detection and infection occurrence varying with triatomine stage and collection ecotope.

Following the nomenclature employed in occupancy models, within brackets we denoted the covariates considered for each probability. The null model, with no covariates for occupancy and uniform detection probability, was denoted Ψ(.)P(.), where “.” denotes no covariate. We used Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) for model selection; hypotheses represented by models with lower AIC values are better supported by the data.

We illustrate the rationale of occupancy models using a hypothetical example in which the goal is to determine whether T. cruzi infection (occupancy, denoted Ψ in the abovementioned models) varies between two triatomine species (such as T. infestans and T. sordida,, which exhibit different domiciliation and infestation patterns in the Argentine Chaco and feed on different hosts, leading to T. sordida being rarely infected), and whether the detection probability of T. cruzi infection (denoted P in the abovementioned models) varies between two different PCR-based diagnosis protocols (protocol1 versus protocol2). The occupancy model creates two linked logit models: one for occupancy probability (Ψ) and one for detection probability (P), with Ψ being conditional on P. In this example the occupancy probability model (Ψ) estimates the probability of infection in a bug on the basis of species. The model first estimates logit coefficients, which are values on the log-odds scale, for each species or detection method relative to a baseline. To obtain interpretable probabilities, these logit values are back-transformed using the inverse logit function. For example, suppose T. sordida is the reference species, and the model provides an intercept of −0.8 for T. sordida, along with a coefficient of 1.1 for T. infestans. This coefficient indicates that T. infestans has a higher likelihood of infection than T. sordida. To calculate the probability of infection for each species, we apply the inverse logit transformation to the logit values 1/(1 + e−Logit). For T. sordida, the probability is calculated as 1/(1 + e0.8) ≈ 0.31, or 31%. For T. infestans, the logit is −0.8 + 1.1 = 0.3, so the probability is 1/(1 + e−0.3) ≈ 0.57, or 57%. This difference in back-transformed probabilities shows that T. infestans has a higher likelihood of infection than T. sordida. Similarly, if the detection probability model (P) for detection method protocol2 has a coefficient of 1.2 relative to protocol1, this back-transformed probability would show protocol2’s higher effectiveness at detecting infection.

The two models work together by incorporating detection history across multiple observations to jointly estimate Ψ and P. For example, if a bug has no detections over repeated tests, the model considers two possibilities: the bug is uninfected (true absence), represented by 1 − Ψ, or the bug is infected, but detection failed each time (false absence), represented by Ψ × (1 − P) for each observation. The model uses this likelihood function to combine observed detections and non-detections, thus linking occupancy and detection estimates. This joint estimation ensures that the probability of infection is adjusted for imperfect detection, resulting in an accurate estimate of the true infection probability in the bug population.

For the literature review, we retrieved previous studies that reported OM- and PCR-based diagnosis of T. cruzi infection in triatomines (natural or artificial infections) and excluded comparisons between OM and PCR for diagnosis of T. cruzi infection in mammalian hosts or tissues. Searches were performed in Pubmed, Google Scholar, BibTri, and Scielo from 1992 until June 2024, including literature published in English and Spanish. Searches were done employing the terms: “trypanosoma cruzi + PCR” or “trypanosoma cruzi + Triatoma/ Panstrongylus/ Rhodnius/ Mepraia”. The studies retrieved were then selected on the basis of the simultaneous use of PCR and OM for T. cruzi infection diagnosis in triatomines. We excluded: (i) reports of PCR and OM diagnosis in only one triatomine; (ii) reports pooling the outcomes for different triatomine species; (iii) reviews with no primary data; and (iv) unpublished thesis dissertations.

We calculated concordance between techniques as the percentage of samples positive and negative by both techniques [7] and the Kappa index using Epitools [45]. Examined insects were classified according to collection site in (peri)domestic (i.e., triatomines collected in domestic or peridomestic sites) and sylvatic.

Results

A total of 129 T. infestans examined microscopically (64 OM-positive and 65 OM-negative) were subsequently tested blindly by vkDNA-PCR. Examined triatomines were mainly collected from domiciles (80%); the remainder was collected in chicken coops (19%), and in a kitchen and a wood pile (1%) from eight houses. Co-positivity occurred in 59 (45.7%) insects; co-negativity in 46 (35.7%); 5 (3.9%) were OM-positive and vkDNA-PCR-negative, and 19 (14.7%) were microscope-negative and vkDNA-PCR-positive. Considering an insect infected on the basis of vkDNA-PCR and/or OM (i.e., by either method), the overall prevalence of infection was 64.3% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 55.8–72.1%]. OM-positivity occurred in 71.1% of these insects, and vkDNA-PCR-positivity in 94.0%. vkDNA-PCR detected T. cruzi infection in 92.2% (n = 64) and 29.2% (n = 65) of OM-positive and OM-negative triatomines, respectively. The naïve prevalence of infection by OM was higher in domestic (56.3%, n = 103) than in peridomestic (23.1%, n = 26) bugs (Fig. 1B) and was slightly higher in adults (56.8%, n = 37) than in nymphs (46.7%, n = 92) (Fig. 1A).

Fig.1
figure 1

Naïve prevalence of Trypanosoma cruzi infection by optical microscopy (OM) and PCR in Triatoma infestans according to a developmental stage and b collection ecotope (other includes chicken coop, kitchen, and wood pile)

To account for imperfect detection, we first run the simplest model considering uniform T. cruzi infection probability and uniform detection probabilities across triatomines and techniques. This model had the least support (Table 1). The best model accounted for different detection probabilities for OM and vkPCR and variation in infection by collection ecotope. The support for the most complex model (in which infection status also varied with triatomine stage) differed little from the former model (ΔAIC < 0.6); therefore, these last two models were considered top models (Table 1). The detection probability of vkDNA-PCR (92%, 95% CI 83–97%) was higher than for OM (76%, 95% CI 65–84%); hence, OM missed almost 1 of every 4 infected triatomines collected before control interventions. Infection estimates ranged from 26.2% to 81.7% according to developmental stage and collection ecotope and were higher in adults (versus nymphs) and in triatomines collected in domiciles (versus peridomiciles). Parameter estimates and 95% CIs are presented in Table 2.

Table 1 Models of the occurrence and detection of Trypanosoma cruzi infection in Triatoma infestans collected before vector control interventions in Pampa del Indio, 2007
Table 2 Back-transformed numerical estimates from logit to the probability scale

The 19 OM-false negative outcomes occurred in three domiciles and one chicken coop from four houses. The three domiciles harbored other infected triatomines as determined by both OM and PCR, whereas the remaining two PCR-positive insects (a female and a fifth-instar nymph) from the chicken coop were the only ones observed positive in this site. The few OM-positive, vkPCR-negative insects found were probably explained by the presence of PCR inhibitors. The finding of other triatomine bugs (range 4–17) positive by OM and vkPCR in the same collection sites as the putatively inhibited samples further supports the occurrence of T. cruzi infection at the collection site level. These results agree with the high aggregation of T. cruzi infection at the collection site and household levels.

The published reports comparing OM and PCR diagnosis of T. cruzi infection in triatomines show that concordance between techniques ranged from 47.2% to 100% and differed widely across the 26 triatomine species considered (Fig. 2, Additional File 1, Table S1). Regarding T. infestans, concordance between OM and PCR outcomes was high and usually ranged between 85.3% and 95.4%. The two studies with intermediate concordance (53.7–58.3%) involved triatomines used in xenodiagnosis; in one of them, triatomines were individually examined by OM and tested by PCR in pools of ten insects. We found no report of T. rangeli naturally infecting T. infestans or other species of the Triatomini tribe, whereas T. rangeli was widespread among Rhodnius spp. This review shows a plethora of different protocols employed for molecular diagnosis: at least eight different DNA extraction methods, five different amplification targets, and even different primer pairs were employed for the same target (Additional File 1, Table S1).

Fig. 2
figure 2

Outcome of Trypanosoma cruzi infection by optical microscopy (OM) and PCR across the main triatomine species

We compared our results with those from a similar study that also employed Taq Platinum and the same molecular diagnosis protocols, while using fecal lysates instead of rectal ampoules, for T. infestans collected pre- and post-intervention in Santiago del Estero, Argentina [33]. The fraction of OM-positive triatomines detected by vkDNA-PCR in Pampa del Indio was indistinguishable from the equivalent estimate in Santiago del Estero (91%) (Fisher’s exact test, df = 1, P = 1.0). By contrast, the fraction of OM-negative, vkDNA-PCR-positive T. infestans in Pampa del Indio was nearly fourfold higher than in Santiago del Estero (Fisher’s exact test, df = 1, P < 0.001). In Pampa del Indio, the overall infection prevalence was 27.2%, whereas in Santiago del Estero it ranged from 4.5% to 13.2% in two study areas [10].

Discussion

Our results confirm the occurrence of imperfect detection of T. cruzi in field-collected T. infestans, with a substantial fraction of infected bugs missed by OM (25%), and support the need of estimating appropriate correction factors. The literature review supports that imperfect detection of T. cruzi infection can be generalized to all triatomine species examined thus far. Accounting for imperfect detection is needed to estimate actual transmission risks across collection ecotopes and epidemiological contexts.

The challenge of estimating the prevalence of a pathogen can be paralleled to the estimation of population abundance or density. Sometimes the exact estimate is needed, but in most cases it is not or it is too costly to obtain, and a consistent population index is sufficient [48]. The imperfect detection of T. cruzi infection by OM should be better considered an index of the natural infection prevalence, and used for comparative purposes and trend detection when protocols are optimized and held constant over time and space. Its choice is justified by lower costs and equipment requirements that for molecular-based diagnosis. Instead of only focusing on the amount of discrepancy, it is critical to evaluate its sources of variation (e.g., stage, ecotope, intervention phase).

In natural xenodiagnosis of dogs and cats, vkDNA-PCR revealed T. cruzi infection in 13% of OM-negative fourth-instar nymphs of T. infestans (n = 94), whereas false-negative results were concentrated on the most infectious hosts [18]. In artificial xenodiagnosis of human blood samples using fourth-instar nymphs of T. infestans, we also found 13% of vkDNA-PCR-positive, OM-negative (n = 527) triatomines [31], suggesting a constant detection error under the same protocols. In the current study, the fraction of vkPCR-positive and OM-negative insects was nearly twofold higher than in those xenodiagnostic studies using a defined triatomine stage. Additionally, the fraction of vkPCR-positive and OM-negative insects was also higher than in the Santiago del Estero study [33]. Whether this difference is due to the sources of DNA used for PCR (fecal lysates versus rectal ampoules) or to dissimilar epidemiological settings and triatomine collection sites remains to be evaluated.

Nearly 25% of the triatomines observed infected by either technique were missed by OM in the current study. Using the percentage of false-negative triatomines by OM (14.7%) herein estimated, we computed adjusted prevalence rates of domestic triatomine infection by operational area of Pampa del Indio from data in Gürtler et al. [23] (Supplementary Table 1). The naïve (i.e., observed) prevalence of T. cruzi infection in domestic T. infestans from operational areas I–IV was 35.6%, 45.2%, 26.7%, and 12.2%, respectively, whereas the adjusted prevalence was 45.0%, 53.3%, 37.4%, and 25.1%, respectively. Given that at the program endpoint assessment all triatomines were tested by PCR, in this case accounting for imperfect detection by OM during the initial phases of the intervention program returns a stronger effect of control actions on triatomine infection rates. Further studies assessing T. cruzi infection simultaneously by OM and PCR in triatomines collected after sustained control are needed to evaluate whether the detection probabilities are modified by the intervention phase (i.e., attack versus surveillance phase). PCR also missed nearly a 10% of OM-infected triatomines under our test conditions. Hence, imperfect detection by OM and PCR may underestimate the actual risks of individual host exposure to largely different degrees.

The probabilities of false-negative and false-positive results of a test with given specificity and sensitivity vary with the underlying true prevalence of the pathogen ([19]: P. 7). This implies that different correction factors are needed depending on the intervention phase when triatomines were collected. Ideally, the reviewed studies in Addtitional File 1, Table S1 should have been classified according to whether they pertained to high- or low-risk transmission scenarios to infer the probability of T. cruzi infection and the resulting probabilities of false-positive and false-negative results. Unfortunately, most reports lacked this key piece of information.

The literature review confirms the widely accepted notion that PCR is substantially more sensitive than OM for detecting T. cruzi infection, but there were widely different results among triatomine species (Fig. 2, Additional File 1, Table S1). The greatest disagreement between OM and PCR outcomes occurred in Rhodnius pictipes and Panstrongylus lutzi and the smallest one among Triatoma species. The absence of T. rangeli infections among species of the tribe Triatomini [51, 52] and the very low prevalence of B. triatominae (which can be differentiated by trained microscopists) [34] probably explain the higher inter-method concordance. For T. infestans, pooling triatomine samples apparently amplified the discrepancy between OM and PCR outcomes, and targeting kDNA was judged to be the best option. The performance of microscopical observation depends crucially on the effort deployed (cover/slide size, search time, and magnification). However, wide variations on these key aspects were also observed: some protocols only invested 5 min per sample whereas others searched all fresh slide fields. Increasing the number of fresh slide fields examined could help increase the sensitivity of OM [35]. It is worth noting that there is no gold standard molecular method for diagnosis of T. cruzi in triatomines thus far. Large variation in the detectability of T. cruzi infection occurred among nymphal stages [4, 27]. Whether the observed variability can be explained by differential parasite load according to triatomine species and stage remains to be determined [17]. Indeed, median parasite loads substantially differed among several triatomine species [36] though no significant differences among developmental stages were observed in Rhodnius prolixus [50]. If reinfections contribute to higher parasite loads, domiciliated triatomine species collected in active transmission scenarios may exhibit higher parasite loads than sylvatic, intrusive triatomine species. This may also contribute to the higher agreement between OM and PCR diagnosis observed for T. infestans. The reviewed studies also differed widely in the number of tested triatomines, collection sites, and whether they tested natural or experimental infections. For nearly a half (14 of 26) of the reviewed species, only one study assessed the relative outcomes of PCR and OM. More studies are needed to assess the performance of these diagnostic methods for the understudied triatomine species.

An overwhelming amount of PCR-based assays have been used for the molecular diagnosis of T. cruzi infection (Bautista-López and Ndao [3], for a review of diagnosis in humans and mammalian hosts), and for T. cruzi discrete typing unit (DTU) identification [53]. The study protocols for Triatominae differed in the amplification targets, PCR primers and cycling conditions employed, DNA extraction methods, DNA volume employed for amplification, source of parasite DNA (feces, rectal ampoule, intestinal, and stomach contents), type of polymerase employed, and preservation methods. These multiple differences hamper any direct comparison of study protocols, which involved different manipulation costs and need of technical expertise. A recent study highlighted the influence of DNA extraction methods on the ability to detect T. cruzi in human samples. In the present study and in previous ones [33, 32, 44], we have used Taq Platinum (Invitrogen) to prevent unspecific amplification and achieve enhanced sensitivity. Inhibition of PCR is a recognized source of false-negative PCR outcomes in OM-positive triatomines [43]. Within the distribution area of T. rangeli and particularly when dealing with Rhodnius sp., false-positive OM results can be expected [17]. Different amplification targets (nuclear DNA or kDNA) and sets of primers have also been pointed as sources of variation in PCR sensitivity [5]. Quantitative PCR assays outperformed conventional PCR in the detection of T. cruzi in triatomines and achieved maximum predictive values [35, 36]. However, its elevated costs make it unaffordable for vector surveillance systems. A standardized, cheap-as-possible, molecular diagnosis protocol of T. cruzi infection in triatomines may be instrumental to assess the status of transmission. Promising results of loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) have recently been reported [28]. Without the need of prior DNA extraction, LAMP could be implemented at the field sites as part of regular vector surveillance operations given that no expensive equipment is required, with the advantage of obtaining quick results.

One of the main limitations of our study relates to the use of convenience samples enriched in domestic triatomines, which did not allow us to compare the relative performance of PCR and OM across a wider range of bug ecotopes, which usually differ in triatomine infection prevalence. Domestic T. infestans usually exhibit higher OM-prevalence than triatomines collected in nearby peridomestic sites (i.e., kitchens, storerooms, mud ovens). If the prevalence of bug infection was positively associated with parasite burden in bug feces, the relative performance of PCR and OM may vary among bug ecotopes, eventually showing a greater degree of agreement in domiciles than in peridomestic habitats. Second, the time elapsed between triatomine collection and PCR testing may have allowed some parasite DNA degradation, thus providing a source of discrepancy between techniques; to minimize this, triatomines were frozen at −20 °C until dissection and DNA extraction. Third, the time elapsed since the PCR assays precluded us from running further tests to confirm PCR inhibition in five OM-positive and PCR-negative samples. However, the finding of several other triatomines positive by OM and vkPCR in the same collection sites as the likely inhibited samples further supports the occurrence of potential inhibitory factors. An alternative explanation for this result could be if the examination by OM largely diminished the amount of parasites left for PCR diagnosis, especially if parasite loads were very low. This hypothesis is unlikely given the high sensitivity of conventional PCR [26] relative to the expected density of T. cruzi per infected T. infestans [20] in an endemic area under active vector-borne transmission [9, 23]. Last, to explicitly account for false-negative and false-positive results, unambiguous determination of T. cruzi infection is needed. A larger sample of triatomines collected at relevant ecotopes and tested by both techniques is necessary to implement this analysis.

Conclusions

Vector infection prevalence is a key component of vectorial capacity and domestic transmission risk. This is the first study that uses site-occupancy models in T. infestans. Our study provides a synthesis on the different sources (both biological and technical) of variation of the outcome of OM and PCR-based diagnosis of T. cruzi infection in triatomines and identifies research needs for diagnostic improvement.

Availability of data and materials

Data are provided within the manuscript or supplementary information files.

Abbreviations

DNA:

Deoxyribonucleic acid

LAMP:

Loop-mediated isothermal amplification

OM:

Optical microscopy

PCR:

Polymerase chain reaction

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Acknowledgements

We thank Paula Ordóñez-Krasnowski, Tamara Iungman, Natalia Macchiaverna, Alejandra Alvedro, and Santiago Piñero for assisting in laboratory activities. Special thanks to BibTri for serving as a source of manuscripts and to an anonymous reviewer of a previous manuscript for suggesting the hierarchical modeling to cope with imperfect detection.

Funding

Parts of this program were supported by the University of Buenos Aires (UBACYT 20020100100944 and 20020130100843BA), Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica (PICT 2018–4193, PICT 2019–3079, PICT-2021-Cat1-0081), and CONICET (PIP 11220110101146).

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M.V.C., G.F.E., M.S.G., and R.E.G.: conceptualization; M.V.C. and M.S.G.: data curation; M.V.C.: formal analysis and project administration; M.V.C., M.S.G., and R.E.G.: funding acquisition; M.V.C., G.F.E., M.P.F., V.C., and R.E.G.: investigation and methodology; M.V.C. and R.E.G.: supervision and writing—original draft; and M.V.C., G.F.E., M.S.G., M.P.F., and R.E.G.: writing—review and editing. All authors read and approved the final version.

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Correspondence to Marta Victoria Cardinal.

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The study protocol was reviewed and approved by the Comité de Etica en Investigación Clínica (Ethical Committee for Clinical Research, Buenos Aires). The protocol for household enrollment included explaining the study aims to householders, asking for permission to inspect the premises for triatomine bugs, and providing oral consents.

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Supplementary Information

13071_2025_6693_MOESM1_ESM.xlsx

Additional File 1: Table S1. Chronologically ordered studies comparing OM and PCR diagnostic results of Trypanosoma cruzi infection in triatomines.

Additional File 2: Table S2. Database.

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Cardinal, M.V., Enriquez, G.F., Gaspe, M.S. et al. Estimation of Trypanosoma cruzi infection in the main vector Triatoma infestans: accounting for imperfect detection using site-occupancy models. Parasites Vectors 18, 58 (2025). https://doiorg.publicaciones.saludcastillayleon.es/10.1186/s13071-025-06693-3

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